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Stone: The Everything Store – Jeff Bezos and the Age of Amazon

Miksi lukea tämä kirja?

1)     Opit miten menestyä Amazonin kanssa.

2)     Mikä on Amazonin kasvukaava

3)     Pääset sisäistämään Hamel&Prahaladin, Jim Collinsin ja Clayton Christensenin oppeja.

4)     Hyvä historiikki maailman suurimpaan kansantalouteen – Internet.

Opit miten menestyä Amazonin kanssa.

Ensimmäinen ja ehdottomasti hyödyllisintä on, että ymmärrät kuinka menestyt Amazonin kanssa. Kirjassa selvitetään melko yksityiskohtaisesti kuinka se toimii:

–         Yritysostokohteiden kanssa.

–         Kilpailijoiden kanssa.

–         Alihankkijoiden kanssa.

–         Marketplace-myyjien kanssa.

–         Henkilöstön kanssa.

Niitä yhdistävä tekijä on frugality eli säästäväisyys. Kaikesta säästetään ja näennäisesti ainoa tarkoitus on tarjota asiakkaille halvempia hintoja. Yritysostokohteet pakotetaan hyväksymään Amazonin tarjous aloittamalla hintasota (Zappos ja Diapers). Kilpailijoiden näköalattomuutta hyödynettiin houkkuttelemassa ne ulkoistamaan verkkokauppansa Amazonille (Walmart & Target). Alihankkijoita kiristettiin antamaan halvempia sisäänostohintoja laittamalla sen tuotteet heikommalle näkyvyydelle. Martketplace-myyjien myyntidatan avulla päätetiin, että mikä tuote/segmentti kannattaa ottaa haltuun. Henkilöstö ei kylpenyt minkäänlaisessa ”employee experience”-kuplassa.

Jännittävästi silti samaan aikaan Bezosin omaisuuden ja kiinteistöjen määrä, yksityislentokoneen omistus ja muut hankkeet kasvavat siinä sivussa. Kirja ei ole yksiselitteinen Bezosin sädekehän kiiloitustarina, vaan enemmänkin siiloitustarina. Kirja kategorisoi hänet samaan siiloon kuin Intellin Andy Groven, Bill Gatesin tai Steve Jobsin. Kapitalismin oppeja noudattaen Amazonista on kasvanut Internetin menestyksekkäimpiä yhtiöitä.  

Mikä on Amazonin kasvukaava?

Kirjan alkuperäinen tavoite on kertoa Sam Waltonin kaltainen yrittäjätarina. Eikä se epäonnistu siinä. Mutta minulle ei selvinnyt kirjan luettuani mikä teki Amazonista aikanaan menestystarinan. Amazonin yrityshistorian takana on monta onnistunutta tekijää. Varmaan Bezosin rooli on niistä pitkäkestoisin, mutta teknologian, muutoksen sekä kasvupolkujen takana on jotain.

Koska on pakko tiivistää niin sanotaan, että Amazonin kasvukaava = A + Z. Bezosin unelma oli tehdä Amazonista kaiken kauppa. Alkuun se oli myydä kaikki kirjat a:sta z:n, mutta aikaa myötä haave kasvoi kasvamistaan ja A + Z laajeni kaikkiin kategorioihin. Ja siinä on onnistuttu. Tarkemmin jos halutaan ilmaista niin nykytilan kasvukaava on toimitukset (one day delivery) + loputon varasto tavaroita (long tail) + talon sisäinen teknologiaosaaminen.

Pääset sisäistämään Hamel&Prahaladin, Jim Collinsin ja Clayton Christensenin oppeja.

Kun luin kirjaa, niin se tulisi selväksi, että Amazon on täydellinen yhtiö Hamel&Prahaladin ”Competing for the Future”-testiin:

1)     Does it have a huge contribution to customer perceived value? KYLLÄ, koska se tarjoaa halvimmat hinnat.

2)     Is it competitively unique? KYLLÄ, koska se pyrkii hankkimaan määräävän markkina-aseman.

3)     Can it extend from a product to the entire market? KYLLÄ, koska aikoo myydä kaikkea A:sta Z:n.

Miksi? Koska Hamel&Prahalad ovat fiksoituneet ydinosaamiseen. Se on heidän mukaan kilpailuedun lähde, joka koostuu taitojen ja teknologioiden muodostamasta tiivistä kokonaisuudesta. Tästä seuraavasta voidaan väitellä, mutta mikä on Amazonin ydinosaaminen? Internet. #ydinosaaminen

Jim Collinsin oppeja hyödynnettiin Bezosin toimesta kun hän halusi uudelleenmääritellä Amazonin liiketoimintamallin. Bezosin johtoryhmä hyödynsi Collinsin Flywheel-konseptia. “You’ve got to decide what you’re great at,” marssitti Collins johtoryhmätyöskentelyä tutkimaan mikä on Amazonin “flywheel” tai “self-reinforcing loop”. Johtoryhmän lopputulos oli “Lower prices led to more customer visits”. #bisneslogiikka

Kolmanneksi eikä vähäisin olivat Clayton Christensen opit ”The Innovator’s Dilemma”-kirjasta. Hänen mukaansa “great companies fail not because they want to avoid disruptive change but because they are reluctant to embrace promising new markets that might undermine their traditional businesses and that do not appear to satisfy their short-term growth requirements. The companies that solved the innovator’s dilemma, set up autonomous organizations charged with building new and independent businesses around the disruptive technology.” #kannibalisoi

Tiivistetysti voidaan sanoa, että Amazon sai ydinosaamisesta 1) kilpailuedun lähteen, 2) halpenevien sisäänosto- sekä ulosmyyntihintojen tuomaa bisneslogiikkaa ja 3) kehittämällä jatkuvasti uusia markkinoita.

Hyvä historiikki maailman suurimpaan kansantalouteen – Internet.

Kaikki Internet-ajan suuruudet seikkailevat kirjan sivuilla. Alkaen Webvanista päätyen Netflixiin. Kirja on valmistunut 2013, joten siihen astiseen Interweb-liiketoiminnan kehityshistoriaan tämä on erinomainen opus. Ainoa hiuksia nostattava yksityiskohta on kuinka kaikki muut maanosat nähdään pelkkinä vasallivaltiona. Mutta niitähän ne ovat, koska USA on Internetin kotimaa.

Lopuksi – opiksi – ojennukseksi: ” Where is the future? It can be found from the intersection of changes.” (Hamel & Prahalad)

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Dan Heath: Upstream

🔵 Valittajat älkööt vaivautuko – tämä on ratkaisukeskeinen kirja.


✅ ”Paras aika istuttaa puu on 20 vuotta sitten. Ja toiseksi paras aika on nyt” on tämän kirjan teema. Kääntäen se tarkoittaa, että jos on toistuvia ongelmia, niin uimalla ylävirtaan löytää ongelmien juurisyyn ja ne voi korjata. 


✅ Ylävirtaan uiminen on työtä, jolla voidaan pienentää ongelmien syntymisen todennäköisyyttä ja se työ on systeemien muuttamista. Koska systeemien johtaminen on johtamistyötä, niin kirja sopii johtamisen ammattilaisille. Ota tavaksi uida ylävirtaan?


✅ Miten? Kirja antaa kolme neuvoa:- Laita hössseliksi ongelmien korjaamiseksi, mutta odota rauhassa tuloksien syntymistä. – Mene yksittäisestä yleiseen. – Tee tulokset näkyviksi. 


✅ Johtajien pitää pystyä sanoittamaan profeetan dilemma. Tehdä ennustuksia, jotka ehkäisevät ongelmien syntymistä ja auttaa organisaatioita uimaan ylävirtaan. Ryhdy siis profeetaksi?


🇫🇮 Suomi mainittu. Suomalaistaustainen Amerikan verohallinnon ex-pääjohtaja  John Koskinen esiintyy kirjassa sankarina.

⛔️ Kirja toistaa innostuneesti ajatusta, että arki on tuhlattu, koska menneisyydessä ei tehty oikeita asioita. Toisaalta se on kirjoittajan heikkous, koska sen oivalluksen yli ei kurkoteta.

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Costa: The Bilingual Brain

🔵 Miksi kannattaa opiskella vieraita kieliä? 

✅ Hyvät uutiset:* Ihminen oppii koko ajan ja loppuelämänsä. * Mitä nuorempana toinen kieli on opittu niin sitä nopeammin kaksikielinen pystyy tuottamaan puhetta. * Sanavarasto karttuu iän myötä. 

✅ Kaksikielisyyden piirteitä:* He oppivat uudesta kielestä enemmän sanoja kuin yksikieliset.* He osaavat asettua paremmin kuulijan asemaan kuin yksikieliset, koska ymmärtävät katsoa asioita toisen henkilön näkökulmasta. Huomioiminen ja huomaavaisuus?* Kolmas etu on, että ikääntyessä kaksikieliset säilyttävät kognitiiviset voimavaransa pidempään.

✅ Kirjassa todetaan yllättävästi, että:* Kaksikieliset saattavat olla hitaampia tuottamaan nopeasti puhetta kuin yksikieliset.* Ei-äidinkieli pyrkii dominoimaan puhujaa.* Harjoituksen puute hidastaa kielenvaihdossa.

✅ Työelämän taitoja voisi parantaa seuraava:* Kun ihmiset tekevät päätöksiä vieraalla kielellä, niin ne ovat harkitumpia päätöksiä ja niissä otetaan vähemmän riskejä. 


🇫🇮 Yksi käytännön vinkin. Ravintolassa kannattaa kysyä onko päivän annos hyvä vai erittäin hyvä. Ja ”hyviä annoksia” kannattaa välttää.


⛔️ Kirja on täydellinen tietokirja, koska siinä on 148 sivua. Teksti tosin vaatii erittäin paljon keskittymistä puolitieteellisen luonteensa vuoksi.

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Diamandis & Kotler: The Future Is Faster Than You Think

🔵 Jos haluat pysähtyä mielikuvittelemaan tulevaisuutta, niin tämä on sellainen kirja. Parasta kirjassa on erilaiset tuokiokuvat futuristisista palveluista ja niiden tuomista kasvumahdollisuuksista. 


✅ Meno yltyy paikoitellen villiksi kun keskustelu kääntyy aivotietokoneisiin ja Marsin asuttamiseen. Jotta jalat pysyvät maanpinnalla, niin poimin kirjasta yhden kysymyksen. Mikä on kirjoittajien mielestä tulevaisuuden kasvukaava? Se on konvergenssi ja maahanmuutto.


✅ Lyhyen aikavälin kasvu syntyy 5G-teknologian, virtuaalitodellisuuden sekä tekoälyn konvergoitumisen kautta. Tämä taloudellinen kasvuloikka tulee kirjoittajien synnyttämään eksponentiaalisen kasvun.


✅ Esimerkiksi median, telekommunikaation ja IT konvergoituminen synnytti 2,6 uutta työpaikkaa yhtä hävinnyttä työpaikkaa kohden. Mistä ne uudet työpaikat syntyvät? Esimerkiksi digitaalisten jääkaappien tai vaatekaappien tuomien liiketoimintamahdollisuuksien kautta.


✅ Pitkäaikavälin kasvuloikka tehdään maahanmuuton avulla. Sen merkitys taloudellisen kasvun lähteenä on ollut keskeinen ja sen he taitavasti osoittavat eri vuosikymmeniltä. 


✅ Esimerkiksi 1930-luvulla Saksan juutalaisten muutto USA:n kasvatti patenttien määrän 31%:lla. Tai Fortune 500 yrityksien perustajista 40% on maahanmuuttajia tai heidän jälkeläisiä.


🇫🇮 Suomi mainittu. Diamandis ja Kotler hehkuttavat Oura-älysormusta moneen otteeseen. Melkein tekisi mieli ostaa kyseinen kapistus.


⛔️ En suosittele kirjaa lukijalle, joka ei jaksa erilaisten tulevaisuustrendien ilotulitusta. Sitä tässä kirjassa on paljon.

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Duhigg: Power Of Habit

🔵 Kirjan pääviesti on opettaa miten ymmärryksestä rakennetaan automaattinen tapa toimia. Ihmisen toimintatavoista 40% on automaattisia ja loput aktiivisia päätöksiä.


✅ Tapoja voidaan muuttaa jos tiedostamme miten ne toimivat. Tiedostamattomia tapoja emme vastaavasti pysty korjaamaan. AA-kerho on esimerkiksi valtaisa koneisto, jonka tehtävä on tunnistaa ja korvata päihteiden käyttöön johtavat tavat. 


✅ Tavat syntyvät, koska aivot pyrkivät säästämään energiaa. Kun aivot saavat vihjeen (tuhkakuppi), joka aktivoi rutiinin (tupakointi) niin siitä seuraa palkinto (nikotiini). 

✅ Jos esimerkiksi haluat käydä joka aamu lenkillä, niin laita juoksukengät näkyvälle paikalle, josta saat kimmokkeen lähteä lenkille kun heräät. Yksistään hampaiden pesu on, jossa Pepsodent (vihje) on synnyttänyt aamuun (rutiini) koetun raikkauden tunteen (palkinto) vaahtoavan hammastahnan kautta. 


✅ Tuttuuden tunne on mekanismi, jolla voidaan synnyttää tapoja. Uuden asian tuominen tutun asian yhteyteen tuottaa vihjeen, joka vakiinnuttaa sen uudeksi tavaksi.

✅ Jos etsit kirjasta itsellesi, niin tässä on kaksi:- Kun tiedostat tapasi, niin voit päättää niistä (vihje-rutiini-plkkio).- Puhu kohtalotovereiden kanssa kun haluat päästä niistä eroon.

⛔️ En ymmärrä miksi tässä kirjassa oli yli 400 sivua.

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O’Reilly: WTF? What’s the Future and Why It’s Up to Us

🔵 Miksi lukisit 448 sivua? 

  • Paras syy on, että ymmärrät kuinka pienestä liiketoiminnasta Internet-palveluissa on vielä kyse. 
  • Toiseksi paras syy on, että pääset miettimään minkälaiseksi muodostuu työelämä? 

✅ Julkisuudessa on esitetty näkökulmia, että Internet-liiketoiminta on menneen talven lumia ja nyt on aika keskittyä johonkin muuhun. 

  • Todellisuudessa Internetin osuus BKT:sta on vasta 5 % kehittyneissä maissa. Siis 95 % BKT:sta on vielä Internet-liiketoiminnan ulkopuolella. Kasvun mahdollisuuksia on ja paljon.

✅ Työelämän muutos ei ole välttämättä sitä mitä julkisuudessa esitetään. O’Reilly käyttää Lyftiä ja Uberia paljon esimerkkinä kuvastaessaan muutosta:

  • Ensimmäinen muutos on, että algoritmit ovat korvanneet keskijohdon. Miksi? “Apps can do now what managers used to do.” 
  • Toinen on, että alustatalousyhtiöt eivät pelkästään polje palkkoja, vaan ne maksavat parhaille taksikuskeille enemmän – tulevaisuudessa. Miksi? ”Even if there are enough drivers, the quality of drivers deeply influences the customer experience.”
  • Kolmas – em. yhtiöt joutuvat kilpailemaan hyvästä työvoimasta aivan kuten kivijalkaliiketoiminnassa. Miksi? “Uber and Lyft will be engaged in as fierce a contest to attract and keep drivers as they are to attract and keep customers today.”

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Siukonen & Neittaanmäki: Mitä tulisi tietää tekoälystä

🔵 Tavoitteletko kilpailuetua tekoälystä? Jos kyllä, niin tämä kirja on voittajan valinta. 
✅ Siukkosen ja Neittaanmäen kirja on laajin suomenkielinen opas aiheeseen. Saat ajankohtaisen katsauksen tekoälyyn, sen soveltamiskohteisiin ja eri toimijoiden rooleihin. 
✅ Kirjaa lukiessa yltiöoptimismi liittyen tekoälyyn karisee, koska paljastuu että käsissämme ei ole mitään tarunhohtoista tekniikkaa. Vielä? 

✅ Tekoäly on luonnollisen älykkyyden vastakohta ja se on tietokoneen toimintojen jatke. Tekoälyn kehityksen tilaa helpottaa ymmärtämään seuraavat kolme lähtökohtaa. 

  1. Parhaillaan tavoitteena on, että tekoälyllä pystytään jäljittelemään hiiren aivojen toimintaa. Ennuste on, että ihmisaivoja pystytään jäljittelemään korkeintaan vasta 2040-luvulla.
  2. Tekoäly jakautuu heikkoon ja vahvaan. Heikkoa tekoälyä edustavat esimerkiksi hakukoneet ja roskapostinsuodatin. Vahvassa tekoälyssä voidaan jäljitellä ihmisen aivotoimintaa.
  3. Tekoäly oppii datan kautta. Datan laatu ja määrä ovat lopputuloksen kannalta keskeisessä roolissa. Ilman, että on massoittain dataa tekoäly ei pysty toimimaan eikä oppimaan.

 ⛔️ Kirja on hengästyttävä listaus tekoälytietoa. Välillä lukija toivoo, että sitä olisi vähemmän. Toisin ilman laajaa tietosisältö kirja ei olisi lukemisen arvoinen.

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Collins & Hansen: How Mighty Fall

About the book

For great many companies the Internet is the beginning of the fall. I hope this book helps us to stay focused and no to fall.

What are the key learnings?

“What should we do if we find ourselves falling? It turns out that much of the answer lies in adhering to highly disciplined management practices.”

Key learnings of the book are:

–      Use highly disciplined management practices to avoid the fall.

–      Learn to recognize the five stages of fall.

Jim Collins and Morten Hansen have identified the five stages of decline. Understanding and recognizing the five stages of decline helps leaders to reduce the chances of falling. Or as Collins and Hansen says

“Tumbling from iconic to irrelevant. Decline can be avoided. The seeds of decline can be detected early.”

“Bank of America gained a reputation as one of the best managed corporations in America. An article in the January 1980 issue of Harvard Business Review opened with a simple summary: “The Bank of America is perhaps best known for its size—it is the world’s largest bank, with nearly 1,100 branches, operations in more than 100 countries, and total assets of about $ 100 billion. In the opinion of many close observers, an equally notable achievement is its quality of management . . .” 

The Five Stages of Decline are:

1) HUBRIS BORN OF SUCCESS.

2) UNDISCIPLINED PURSUIT OF MORE.

3) DENIAL OF RISK AND PERIL.

4) GRASPING FOR SALVATION.

5) CAPITULATION TO IRRELEVANCE OR DEATH. 

Eleven cases that met rigorous rise-and-fall criteria at some point in their history: 

1.   A& P 

2.   Addressograph 

3.   Ames Department Stores 

4.   Bank of America (before it was acquired by NationsBank) 

5.   Circuit City 

6.   Hewlett-Packard (HP) 

7.   Merck 

8.   Motorola 

9.   Rubbermaid 

10. Scott Paper 

11. Zenith

Principal effort of Collins and Hansen was on the two-part question: 

⁃ What happened leading up to the point at which decline became visible and

⁃ What did the company do once it began to fall?

They studied “historical eras of performance to understand the underlying dynamics that correlate with building greatness (or losing it).”

Anna Karenina. It reads, “All happy families are alike; each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.”

Five stages

STAGE 1: HUBRIS BORN OF SUCCESS.

Arrogance is a symptom of decline.

“Stage 1 kicks in when people become arrogant, regarding success virtually as an entitlement, and they lose sight of the true underlying factors that created success in the first place.” 

“When the rhetoric of success (“We’re successful because we do these specific things”) replaces penetrating understanding and insight (“We’re successful because we understand why we do these specific things and under what conditions they would no longer work”), decline will very likely follow.”

STAGE 2: UNDISCIPLINED PURSUIT OF MORE.

Set-up for the fall.

More scale, more growth, more acclaim, more of whatever those in power see as “success.”

“Companies in Stage 2 stray from the disciplined creativity that led them to greatness in the first place, making undisciplined leaps into areas where they cannot be great or growing faster than they can achieve with excellence, or both. When an organization grows beyond its ability to fill its key seats with the right people, it has set itself up for a fall. Although complacency and resistance to change remain dangers to any successful enterprise, overreaching better captures how the mighty fall.”

STAGE 3: DENIAL OF RISK AND PERIL.

Denial kicks in.

“As companies move into Stage 3, internal warning signs begin to mount, yet external results remain strong enough to “explain away” disturbing data or to suggest that the difficulties are “temporary” or “cyclic” or “not that bad,” and “nothing is fundamentally wrong.” In Stage 3, leaders discount negative data, amplify positive data, and put a positive spin on ambiguous data. Those in power start to blame external factors for setbacks rather than accept responsibility.”

STAGE 4: GRASPING FOR SALVATION.

The decline becomes visible.

“The cumulative peril and/ or risks-gone-bad of Stage 3 assert themselves, throwing the enterprise into a sharp decline visible to all.

The critical question is, “How does its leadership respond?”

“By lurching for a quick salvation or by getting back to the disciplines that brought about greatness in the first place? Those who grasp for salvation have fallen into Stage 4. Common “saviors” include a charismatic visionary leader, a bold but untested strategy, a radical transformation, a dramatic cultural revolution, a hoped-for blockbuster product, a “game changing” acquisition, or any number of other silver-bullet solutions. Initial results from taking dramatic action may appear positive, but they do not last.”

STAGE 5: CAPITULATION TO IRRELEVANCE OR DEATH. 

This stage is a point of no return or a roadmap of decline.

“The longer a company remains in Stage 4, repeatedly grasping for silver bullets, the more likely it will spiral downward. In Stage 5, accumulated setbacks and expensive false starts erode financial strength and individual spirit to such an extent that leaders abandon all hope of building a great future. In some cases, their leaders just sell out; in other cases, the institution atrophies into utter insignificance, and in the most extreme cases, the enterprise simply dies outright.”

“It is possible to skip a stage, although our research suggests that companies are likely to move through them in sequence. Some companies move quickly through the stages, while others languish for years, or even decades. Zenith, for example, took three decades to move through all five stages, whereas Rubbermaid fell from the end of Stage 2 all the way to Stage 5 in just five years.”

“One of the keys to sustained performance lies in understanding how greatness can be lost. Second, I ultimately see this as a work of well-founded hope.”

“Yet our research indicates that organizational decline is largely self-inflicted, and recovery largely within our own control.”

Stage 1: Hubris Born of Success

“Amongst the eighteen visionary companies we studied at that time, Motorola received some of the highest scores on dimensions such as

0. adherence to core values, 

0. willingness to experiment, 

0. management continuity, and 

0. mechanisms of self-improvement.”

“Hubris is defined as excessive pride that brings down a hero, or alternatively (to paraphrase classics professor J. Rufus Fears), outrageous arrogance that inflicts suffering upon the innocent.”

Fail to improve your primary flywheel

“A cycle of arrogant neglect that goes like this:

1. You build a successful flywheel. 

2. You succumb to the notion that new opportunities will sustain your success better than your primary flywheel, either because you face an impending threat or because you find other opportunities more exciting (or perhaps you’re just bored). 

3. You divert your creative attention to new adventures and fail to improve your primary flywheel as if your life depended on it. 

4. The new ventures fail outright, siphon off your best creative energy, or take longer to succeed than expected. 

5. You turn your creative attention back to your primary flywheel only to find it wobbling and losing momentum.”

Stay true to your business….

“It’s like being an artist. Picasso didn’t renew himself by abandoning painting and sculpture to become a novelist or a banker.”

Are you knowing or learning person?

To be a knowing person (“I already know everything about why this works, and let me tell you”) differs fundamentally from being a learning person. The “knowing people” can set companies on the path to decline in two ways. First, they can become dogmatic about their specific practices (“We know we’re successful because we do these specific things, and we see no reason to question them”) as we saw with A& P. Second, they can overreach, moving into sectors or growing to a scale at which the original success factors no longer apply.

• SUCCESS ENTITLEMENT, ARROGANCE: Success is viewed as “deserved,” rather than fortuitous, fleeting, or even hard earned in the face of daunting odds; people begin to believe that success will continue almost no matter what the organization decides to do, or not to do. 

• NEGLECT OF A PRIMARY FLYWHEEL: Distracted by extraneous threats, adventures, and opportunities, leaders neglect a primary flywheel, failing to renew it with the same creative intensity that made it great in the first place. 

• “WHAT” REPLACES “WHY”: The rhetoric of success (“ We’re successful because we do these specific things”) replaces understanding and insight (“ We’re successful because we understand why we do these specific things and under what conditions they would no longer work”). 

• DECLINE IN LEARNING ORIENTATION: Leaders lose the inquisitiveness and learning orientation that mark those truly great individuals who, no matter how successful they become, maintain a learning curve as steep as when they first began their careers. 

• DISCOUNTING THE ROLE OF LUCK: Instead of acknowledging that luck and fortuitous events might have played a helpful role, people begin to presume that success is due entirely to the superior qualities of the enterprise and its leadership.

Stage 2: Undisciplined Pursuit of More

“This provokes a question: Why do we instinctively point to complacency and lack of innovation as a dominant pattern of decline, despite evidence to the contrary?”

“First, those who build great companies have drive and passion and intensity and an incurable itch for progress somewhere in their DNA to begin with; if we studied companies that never excelled, those that fell from so-so to bad, we might see a different pattern.”

“Second, perhaps people want to attribute the fall of others to a character flaw they don’t see in themselves rather than face the frightening possibility that they might be just as vulnerable.”

OBSESSED WITH GROWTH 

“In his 1995 annual letter to shareholders, Merck’s chairman and CEO Ray Gilmartin delineated the company’s #1 business objective: being a top-tier growth company.”

“To be clear, the problems of Stage 2 stem not from growth per se, but from the undisciplined pursuit of more.”

“Packard’s Law states that no company can consistently grow revenues faster than its ability to get enough of the right people to implement that growth and still become a great company.”

What are the key seats in your organization?

“If I were to pick one marker above all others to use as a warning sign, it would be a declining proportion of key seats filled with the right people. Twenty-four hours a day, 365 days a year, you should be able to answer the following questions: What are the key seats in your organization?”

“One notable distinction between wrong people and right people is that the former see themselves as having “jobs,” while the latter see themselves as having responsibilities.”

“We observed each of the following modes of turmoil in at least one of the fallen companies:

• A domineering leader fails to develop strong successors (or drives strong successors away) and thereby creates a leadership vacuum when he or she steps away.

• An able executive dies or departs unexpectedly, with no strong replacement to step smoothly into the role.

• Strong successor candidates turn down the opportunity to become CEO.

• Strong successor candidates unexpectedly leave the company.

• The board of directors is acrimoniously divided on the designation of a leader, creating an adversarial “we” and “they” dynamic at the top.

• Leaders stay in power as long as they can and then pass the company to leaders who are late in their careers and assume a caretaker role.

• Monarchy-style family dynamics favor family members over nonfamily members, regardless of who would be the best leader.

• The board brings in a leader from the outside who doesn’t fit the core values, and the leader is ejected by the culture like a virus.

• The company chronically fails at getting CEO selection right.”

Confusing big with great

MARKERS FOR STAGE 2

• UNSUSTAINABLE QUEST FOR GROWTH, CONFUSING BIG WITH GREAT: Success creates pressure for more growth, setting up a vicious cycle of expectations; this strains people, the culture, and systems to the breaking point; unable to deliver consistent tactical excellence, the institution frays at the edges.

• UNDISCIPLINED DISCONTINUOUS LEAPS: The enterprise makes dramatic moves that fail at least one of the following three tests: 1. Do they ignite passion and fit with the company’s core values? 2. Can the organization be the best in the world at these activities or in these arenas? 3. Will these activities help drive the organization’s economic or resource engine?

• DECLINING PROPORTION OF RIGHT PEOPLE IN KEY SEATS: There is a declining proportion of right people in key seats, because of losing the right people and/ or growing beyond the organization’s ability to get enough people to execute on that growth with excellence (e.g., breaking Packard’s Law).

• EASY CASH ERODES COST DISCIPLINE: The organization responds to increasing costs by increasing prices and revenues rather than increasing discipline.

• BUREAUCRACY SUBVERTS DISCIPLINE: A system of bureaucratic rules subverts the ethic of freedom and responsibility that marks a culture of discipline; people increasingly think in terms of jobs rather than responsibilities.

• PROBLEMATIC SUCCESSION OF POWER: The organization experiences leadership-transition difficulties, be they in the form of poor succession planning, failure to groom excellent leaders from within, political turmoil, bad luck, or an unwise selection of successors.

• PERSONAL INTERESTS PLACED ABOVE ORGANIZATIONAL INTERESTS: People in power allocate more for themselves or their constituents—more money, more privileges, more fame, more of the spoils of success—seeking to capitalize as much as possible in the short term, rather than investing primarily in building for greatness decades into the future.

Stage 3: Denial of Risk and Peril

“Why great companies experiment with a lot of little things that might not pan out in the end.”

For businesses, our analysis suggests that any deterioration in

–      gross margins,

–      current ratio, or

–      debt-to-equity ratio indicates an impending storm.

Our financial analyses revealed that all eleven fallen companies showed a negative trend in at least one of these three variables as they moved toward Stage 4.”

“Yet we found little evidence of significant management concern and certainly not the productive paranoia they should have had about these trends. Customer loyalty and stakeholder engagement also deserve attention.” 

Blame other people or external factors

“One common behavior of late Stage 3 (and that often carries well into Stage 4) is when those in power blame other people or external factors—or otherwise explain away the data—rather than confront the frightening reality that the enterprise may be in serious trouble.”

“Reorganizations and restructurings can create a false sense that you’re actually doing something productive.”

“We have no evidence from our research that any one structure is ideal in all situations, and no form of reorganization can make risk and peril melt away.”

MARKERS FOR STAGE 3

• AMPLIFY THE POSITIVE, DISCOUNT THE NEGATIVE: There is a tendency to discount or explain away negative data rather than presume that something is wrong with the company; leaders highlight and amplify external praise and publicity.

• BIG BETS AND BOLD GOALS WITHOUT EMPIRICAL VALIDATION: Leaders set audacious goals and/ or make big bets that aren’t based on accumulated experience, or worse, that fly in the face of the facts.

• INCURRING HUGE DOWNSIDE RISK BASED ON AMBIGUOUS DATA: When faced with ambiguous data and decisions that have a potentially severe or catastrophic downside, leaders take a positive view of the data and run the risk of blowing a hole “below the waterline.”

• EROSION OF HEALTHY TEAM DYNAMICS: There is a marked decline in the quality and amount of dialogue and debate; there is a shift toward either consensus or dictatorial management rather than a process of argument and disagreement followed by unified commitment to execute decisions.

• EXTERNALIZING BLAME: Rather than accept full responsibility for setbacks and failures, leaders point to external factors or other people to affix blame.

• OBSESSIVE REORGANIZATIONS: Rather than confront the brutal realities, the enterprise chronically reorganizes; people are increasingly preoccupied with internal politics rather than external conditions.

• IMPERIOUS DETACHMENT: Those in power become more imperious and detached; symbols and perks of executive-class status amplify detachment; plush new office buildings may disconnect executives from daily life.

Stage 4: Grasping for Salvation

Silver bullets

“Stage 4 begins when an organization reacts to a downturn by lurching for a silver bullet. This can take a wide range of possible forms, such as betting big on an unproven technology, pinning hopes on an untested strategy, relying upon the success of a splashy new product, seeking a “game changing” acquisition, gambling on an image makeover, hiring consultants who promise salvation, seeking a savior CEO, expounding the rhetoric of “revolution,” or in its very late stages, grasping for a financial rescue or buyout.”

Mannaryyni-strategia

“The key point is that they go for a quick, big solution or bold stroke to jump-start a recovery, rather than embark on the more pedestrian, arduous process of rebuilding long-term momentum.”

“Our research across multiple studies (Good to Great, Built to Last, How the Mighty Fall, and our ongoing research into what it takes to prevail in turbulent environments) shows a distinct negative correlation between building great companies and going outside for a CEO. Eight of the eleven fallen companies in this analysis went for an outside CEO during their era of decline, whereas only one of the success contrasts went outside during the eras of comparison.”

“And in our previous research, over 90 percent of the CEOs that led companies from good to great came from inside; meanwhile, over two-thirds of the comparison companies in that study hired a CEO from the outside yet failed to make a comparable leap.”

Jumping from one false salvation to another

“Louis V. Gerstner from IBM understood that whether you’re brought in from the outside or come from the inside, you have to halt the cycle of grasping and cease jumping from one false salvation to another, from silver bullet to silver bullet, from dashed hope to new hope, only to have hopes dashed yet again.”

“The remarkable thing about Gerstner is that he did not accept that frame, a powerful lesson for all leaders, whether coming from within or without.”

“If you want to reverse decline, be rigorous about what not to do.”

MARKERS FOR STAGE 4

“• A SERIES OF SILVER BULLETS: There is a tendency to make dramatic, big moves, such as a “game changing” acquisition or a discontinuous leap into a new strategy or an exciting innovation, in an attempt to quickly catalyze a breakthrough—and then to do it again and again, lurching about from program to program, goal to goal, strategy to strategy, in a pattern of chronic inconsistency.

• GRASPING FOR A LEADER-AS-SAVIOR: The board responds to threats and setbacks by searching for a charismatic leader and/ or outside savior.

• PANIC AND HASTE: Instead of being calm, deliberate, and disciplined, people exhibit hasty, reactive behavior, bordering on panic.

• RADICAL CHANGE AND “REVOLUTION” WITH FANFARE: The language of “revolution” and “radical” change characterizes the new era: New programs! New cultures! New strategies! Leaders engage in hoopla, spending a lot of energy trying to align and “motivate” people, engaging in buzzwords and taglines.

• HYPE PRECEDES RESULTS: Instead of setting expectations low—underscoring the duration and difficulty of the turnaround—leaders hype their visions; they “sell the future” to compensate for the lack of current results, initiating a pattern of overpromising and underdelivering.

• INITIAL UPSWING FOLLOWED BY DISAPPOINTMENTS: There is an initial burst of positive results, but they do not last; dashed hope follows dashed hope; the organization achieves no buildup, no cumulative momentum.

• CONFUSION AND CYNICISM: People cannot easily articulate what the organization stands for; core values have eroded to the point of irrelevance; the organization has become “just another place to work,” a place to get a paycheck; people lose faith in their ability to triumph and prevail. Instead of passionately believing in the organization’s core values and purpose, people become distrustful, regarding visions and values as little more than PR and rhetoric.

• CHRONIC RESTRUCTURING AND EROSION OF FINANCIAL STRENGTH: Each failed initiative drains resources; cash flow and financial liquidity begin to decline; the organization undergoes multiple restructurings; options narrow and strategic decisions are increasingly dictated by circumstance.”

Stage 5: Capitulation to Irrelevance or Death

CASH! “Never forget,” Lazier would say. “You pay your bills with cash. You can be profitable and bankrupt.”

“But organizations do not die from lack of earnings. They die from lack of cash.”

We found two basic versions of Stage 5. 

0. In the first version, those in power come to believe that capitulation offers a better overall outcome than continuing to fight. 

0. In the second version, those in power continue the struggle, but they run out of options, and the enterprise either dies outright or shrinks into utter irrelevance compared to its previous grandeur.

Fallen from great to terrible

“Recall the Gerstner philosophy: the right leaders feel a sense of urgency in good times and bad, whether facing threat or opportunity, no matter what.”

“Burning platform: The right people will drive improvement, whether standing on a burning platform or not.”

“The path to recovery lies first and foremost in returning to sound management practices and rigorous strategic thinking.”

“It never hurts to review the classics, including Drucker, Porter, Deming, and Peters/ Waterman.”

“If you’ve fallen into decline, get back to solid management disciplines—now! And if you’re still strong, be vigilant for early markers of decline.”

“Be willing to change tactics, but never give up your core purpose.”

How should we change according to the book?

Go back to Good-To-Great Framework:

DISCIPLINED PEOPLE

STAGE 1: DISCIPLINED PEOPLE LEVEL 5 LEADERSHIP: Level 5 leaders are ambitious first and foremost for the cause, the organization, the work—not themselves—and they have the fierce resolve to do whatever it takes to make good on that ambition. A Level 5 leader displays a paradoxical blend of personal humility and professional will.

FIRST WHO, THEN WHAT: Those who build great organizations make sure they have the right people on the bus, the wrong people off the bus, and the right people in the key seats before they figure out where to drive the bus. They always think first about “who” and then about what. 

BRUTAL FACTS

STAGE 2: DISCIPLINED THOUGHT CONFRONT THE BRUTAL FACTS—THE STOCKDALE PARADOX: Retain unwavering faith that you can and will prevail in the end, regardless of the difficulties, and at the same time have the discipline to confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they might be.

THE HEDGEHOG CONCEPT: Greatness comes about by a series of good decisions consistent with a simple, coherent concept—a “hedgehog concept.” The hedgehog concept is an operating model that reflects understanding of three intersecting circles: what you can be the best in the world at, what you are deeply passionate about, and what best drives your economic or resource engine. 

ACTION CULTURE

STAGE 3: DISCIPLINED ACTION CULTURE OF DISCIPLINE: Disciplined people who engage in disciplined thought and who take disciplined action—operating with freedom within a framework of responsibilities: this is the cornerstone of a culture that creates greatness. People do not have jobs; they have responsibilities.

THE FLYWHEEL: There is no single defining action, no grand program, no one killer innovation, no solitary lucky break, no miracle moment. Rather, the process resembles relentlessly pushing a giant heavy flywheel, turn upon turn, building momentum until a point of breakthrough, and beyond. 

CLOCK BUILDING

STAGE 4: BUILDING GREATNESS TO LAST CLOCK BUILDING, NOT TIME TELLING: Truly great organizations prosper through multiple generations of leaders, the exact opposite of being built around a single great leader, great idea, or specific program. Leaders in great organizations build catalytic mechanisms to stimulate progress and do not depend upon having a charismatic personality to get things done; indeed, many have had a “charisma bypass.”

PRESERVE THE CORE/ STIMULATE PROGRESS: Enduring great organizations are characterized by a fundamental duality. On the one hand, they have a set of timeless core values and core reason for being that remain constant over long periods of time. On the other hand, they have a relentless drive for change and progress—a creative compulsion that often manifests in BHAGs (Big Hairy Audacious Goals). Great organizations keep clear the difference between their core values (which never change) and operating strategies and cultural practices (which endlessly adapt to a changing world).

What should I personally do?

Three things:

–      Internet might be the root cause for companies starting to fall

–      Try to pinpoint ”How Mighty Fall”-companies and analyse why they have fallen from great to terrible.

–      And invest in companies that are on their way from good to great.

Summary

The book in six words – “Effective teaching: don’t try to come up with the right answers; focus on coming up with good questions.” (Bill Lazier)….. “There are more ways to fall than to become great.”

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Michael Wade et al: Orchestrating Transformation

About the book

Oh boy! This is the BIG book of transformation. After this there is no need to read any other books about digital transformation. Unless Wade et al. will write something new about digital transformation.

The companies that have not already been subject to serious digital competition will benefit from this book. The companies that would most benefit from learnings of the book are B2B and engineering companies or public organization.

The book is written to business leaders, executives and Chief Digital Officers. This is your book if you want to avoid “the danger of becoming a corporate irrelevance”. Do not be a “Queen of PowerPoint.” Become the master of digital transformation.

“When you’re finished changing, you’re finished.” (Ben Franklin)

What are the key learnings?

“Transformation is not an event; it’s an essential and perpetual task of leadership.”

The key learnings are

–      “A second wave of disruption is upon us. This wave is focused not only on digitizing products and services, but also on business models, processes, and value chains“.

–      Now it’s your turn. “Companies that were easy targets for digitalization – media, financial and telco’s, have already gone through the digital disruption.”

–      The third wave is around the corner. Watch out technologies such as RPA, ML and AI.

“Orchestrating Transformation is less about what the best companies do better than anyone else. Instead, it’s largely about what everyone gets consistently wrong—and how to fix it. This book proceeds from a simple premise: most companies are not successful in digital business transformation.”

Digital business transformation involves much more than technology.

Definition of Digital Business Transformation is “organizational change through the use of digital technologies and business models to improve performance.”

–      “The objective of digital business transformation is to improve business performance.

–      Digital business transformation is based on a digital foundation.

–      Digital business transformation requires organizational change – change that includes processes, people, and strategy.”

Orchestration

“The concept of orchestration to contend with the connected nature of change. By embracing the networked nature of organizations, and the challenge of changing what is highly connected, we reframe what the execution of a digital business transformation program means (continuous and holistic) and increase the chances that it will ultimately succeed.”

Transformation dilemma

“We call this the “transformation dilemma” of today’s incumbents. Organizational characteristics of today’s market incumbents

–      scale,

–      interdependence,

–      dynamism.

“Why the “entanglement” of these characteristics makes it nearly impossible to achieve success in digital business transformation using traditional change methods.”

“Today’s incumbents are missing the growth hacking factor, because “the vast majority of organizational change efforts fail. Estimates vary, but failure rates range from 60 to 80 percent and don’t seem to improve over time.”

“Digital transformations fail so frequently that we’ve met many executives who are hostile to the very term “digital,” or who have made any phrases containing “transformation” verboten because of the word’s perceived connotations of hype, frustration, and fiasco.”

Why? Many company leaders don’t understand the problem they face. “Simply put – things change a lot:

–      Scale. Companies are awash in huge volumes of “things that need to be managed”

–      Interdependence. The things that need to be managed are interrelated, and the effects from any one action are felt throughout the organization in ways that aren’t easy to predict.

–      Dynamism. The things that need to be managed, and the environments (market, regulatory, etc.) in which they operate, are constantly evolving. The need to do things differently is a constant competitive reality.”

Cult of synergy

“Often, companies respond to interdependence by separating things into different units. This approach, known as “departmentalization,” gives a certain team the authority to establish (“own”) a standard for how something is done. At first glance, the approach makes sense as an antidote for complexity. However, it also contributes to the balkanization of companies (i.e., silos), undermining the biggest value of interdependence: synergy.

“A lack of synergy is a major contributing factor in why most transformation programs fail to deliver their expected returns.”

Tales on unexpected

–      Gray Wolf Effect. “One example involves the return of the gray wolf to Yellowstone National Park. 7 By 1926, all gray wolves, the natural “apex predator” in Yellowstone, had been exterminated. In the mid-1990s, gray wolves were reintroduced into the park, and scientists soon observed how their predatory habits affected the entire food chain and overall biodiversity of the region. The reintroduced gray wolves killed and ate the park’s elk population. In turn, the reduced number of grazing elk allowed for the growth of more vegetation. This increase in plant life and its root systems then increased the stability of riverbanks and, ultimately, changed the paths followed by the park’s rivers. (To ecologists, this phenomenon is known as a “trophic cascade”).”

–      Cobra Effect. ”This phenomenon is sometimes referred to as the Cobra Effect. The term originated in the British Raj in 19 th century India. The British government, concerned about the proliferation of venomous cobras in Delhi, offered a bounty to citizens who killed the snakes. Unfortunately, local residents reacted to this incentive by modifying their behavior in an unanticipated way: they began breeding cobras that could be killed for money. When the government realized that citizens were gaming the system, they shut down the bounty program. This prompted the citizens to free their now-worthless snakes, significantly increasing the cobra population.”

–      Black Swan Effect of course.

Four types of change

1.   Plain Old Change.

a.   “This is functionally autonomous, incremental change. The goal of change is straightforward, and the resources needed are limited and well-defined within a particular functional area or group. For example, if the advertising department opts to shift investment in newspaper and television media to online ads, that’s their purview. It doesn’t significantly impact, and isn’t contingent upon, other parts of the company. This type of change represents most of the management effort focused on implementing changes. It’s pretty run-of-the-mill and doesn’t involve extensive cross-functional considerations. It also doesn’t require changes to a company’s overarching strategy or business model.”

2.   Blanket Adjustments.

a.   “This is highly entangled, incremental change. Here, a company makes a tweak or calibration—introducing new enterprise-wide hiring rules or a global expense management system—that affects many different stakeholders in all parts of the organization. These adjustments frequently collide with highly entangled structures and, as many of us have experienced, can be challenging to implement. Nonetheless, the extent of change isn’t large. There’s no essential change to the kinds of value the company creates for customers, how it makes money, or its overall competitive position.”

3.   Smart X.

a.   “This is functionally autonomous, major change. The changes are big, but they don’t have a company-wide focus. When you hear about projects like “smart supply chain” or “smart real estate,” these are examples of Smart X change. This doesn’t mean, however, that Smart X change is a breeze to achieve. Although the change may be limited to a single function, it can be ambitious in scope. A “smart factory,” for example, could involve a complete revolution in how manufacturing processes are performed. This certainly qualifies as “major change.”

4.   Digital Business Transformation.

a.   ”This is highly entangled, major change. This type of change is the focus of the DBT Center in general and this book in particular. Recalling our earlier definition of digital business transformation as “organizational change through the use of digital technologies and business models to improve performance,” we can see that this type of change is considerably different from the others. It combines high levels of scale, interdependence, and dynamism with the need to make fundamental changes to the entire organization in the service of a new strategic direction. It means making changes to business models and customer value creation to address disruptive competition. It may also involve value creation with third parties (i.e., through platforms).”

Guiding objectives

“What’s more, too many transformations are disconnected from:

–      Customer value creation,

–      Business models,  

–      Strategies of the company.”

“We refer to these three elements together as guiding objectives. Guiding objectives are a set of clearly-articulated aims that serve as the point of departure for effective execution of a transformation program. (However, they are not the company’s “digital strategy”; see sidebar.)”

Three common denominators in modus operandi for succeeding in transformation are:

1.   Cost value. Disruptors create value for customers through lower costs or by creating some kind of economic gain.

2.   Experience value. through customer experiences that are faster, more convenient, more personalized, and so forth.

3.   Platform value. By creating connections that did not exist before, such as between a buyer and a seller, or between a teacher and a student.

Smash the paradigm

“In the past, as described in Michael Porter’s classic Competitive Strategy, firms focused on one of two main competitive orientations: cost leadership (what we refer to as “cost value”) and differentiation (what we call “experience value”). 2 Porter’s point is that companies pick one or the other: you can be Walmart (cost value) or you can be Burberry (experience value). But you don’t try to do both at once—doing so would be a recipe for disaster (by the way, there were not platforms as we think of them today back when Porter wrote his book). Companies like Uber, and all of the most disruptive companies, smash this paradigm with their ability to create combinatorial disruption that customers can’t get enough of.”

Case Fujifilm. “Fujifilm recognized the digital threat to its core market in analog cameras and film. As far back as the 1980s, both companies anticipated declining sales of photographic film and paper and launched successful digital camera offerings. By 1999, Fujifilm was the world leader in digital camera sales. By 2003, however, the disruption in digital photography deepened with the introduction of smartphones with built-in multi-megapixel cameras. At Fujifilm, film sales fell off a cliff. They dropped by one-third within a year, and photo labs reported an 80 percent decline in processing jobs for consumers. After decades of growth, Fujifilm’s revenue reached a peak in 1999 at $13.6 billion. Shigetaka Komori, who became CEO in 2003 (he was also named chairman in 2012), had to respond: “At first I thought that color film wouldn’t disappear quickly, but digital stole it all away in an instant.” This is a common sentiment for executives who have the misfortune of encountering value vampires—disruptive competitors who permanently undercut the viability of a market. In 2001, film accounted for two-thirds of Fujifilm profits. By 2017, it was less than 1 percent. Komori and his team restructured the organization, reducing its distribution, research and development, and management costs. Significant job reductions, factory closings, and other cuts helped decrease the company’s cost base by more than $5 billion. Fujifilm diversified and retreated into a few niche markets where value vampires (Apple and the Android-based smartphone makers) had no intention of following: high-end digital imaging machines, enterprise document solutions, and (unexpectedly) cosmetics.

Strategic Response Playbook – Four strategic options

1.   Harvest: Maximizing Returns from a Disrupted Business

2.   Retreat: Strategic Withdrawal

3.   Disrupt: Creating New Customer Value

4.   Occupy: Winning in a Disrupted Space

Harvest

Harvest is a defensive strategy designed to maximize gains from an at-risk or declining business. Harvest strategies frequently begin with “blocking tactics,” drawing on the benefits of incumbent status with customers, partners, regulators, opinion-makers, and providers of capital. These countermeasures are intended to slow the disruption or buy time for an incumbent to come up with a more appropriate response.

Harvest shouldn’t be equated with failure. It’s the natural progression of a mature business confronting commoditization, customer attrition, margin compression, and other unpleasantness arising from digital disruption. Leaders who are clear-sighted enough to accept this are best positioned to steer their organizations through the transition. An example of a global incumbent adopting a Harvest strategy is Avon Products. 4 Founded over 130 years ago in New York, the company uses a direct, social-selling channel: 6 million “Avon Ladies” form an independent salesforce of micro-entrepreneurs who go door-to-door to offer women cosmetics, fragrances, jewelry, and health supplements.

Retreat

“There are two main components to a Retreat strategy.

–      Retreat emphasizes withdrawal into a market niche that serves a small subset of existing customers with specialized needs. Usually, the niche is a market the incumbent has dominated in the past and, in most cases, is an expert at managing for profitability. The niche market often requires a level of experience value that is hard for disruptors to deliver.

–      Market exit is the second component of a Retreat strategy, and choosing the right time to exit is a critical decision. Too early, and you risk leaving money on the table. Too late, and the value has disappeared. Fujifilm sold many of its core assets in film and paper production while they still had value, channeling the proceeds into new business lines.”

Disrupt

“A Disrupt strategy focuses on creating cost value, experience value, and platform value for customers using digital technologies and business models in a new way. Becoming a disruptor requires a mix of deep customer and competitor insights, innovative thinking, strategic experimentation, capability transfer and building, and careful investment. As a result, many incumbents find disruption very difficult. For example Casper and Endy’s success is the result of their rigorous focus on providing value to customers. Buying a mattress through traditional channels can be a painful experience.

Occupy

“While a disruption can be achieved through cost value or experience value or platform value, a successful Occupy strategy normally requires combinatorial disruption. Only by combining all three forms of value can an organization prevail in the disruption battle for any length of time. The main problem with Occupy is that incumbents are often on unfamiliar terrain. Sleep Country Canada…. Far from retrenching, the company is aggressively investing, improving cost controls and inventory levels. <= LeanLeap

Sleep Country Canada is also “disrupting the disruptors,” emulating the market-changing innovations that underpin the value of Casper and Endy’s offers, while continuing to wield its physical stores presence and greater bargaining strengths. It launched an easy-to-deliver mattress-in-a-box called Bloom, 36 allowing it to participate in a fast-growing segment of the market. 37 The company has always offered a 100-day satisfaction guarantee but is benefiting from the market awareness that online competitors’ marketing efforts are creating.”

Establishing Guiding Objectives of a Transformation

“What should we do first in our transformation program?” The answer is: start by establishing guiding objectives.”

“Drawing on our research into digital transformation journeys, we have built a simple tool called “20 Questions” to help organizations prioritize strategic responses.

“Certain strategies in the Strategic Response Playbook are employed more than others:

–      Retreat strategies are less frequent, in part because, as we observed in our earlier book, leaders are reluctant to pursue them (out of fear they will be perceived as signposts of deficient leadership) and because, even though market entry and exit rates are accelerating in the Digital Vortex, “wrapping up” a business is not a daily occurrence for firms.

–      Disrupt strategies are not something companies embark on frequently or lightly. They tend to be radical departures from what the company has done in the past and require a different model for market formation, incubation, and scaling. Most incumbents are not good at Disrupt strategies because they imply being first to market, often with a small subset of early-adopter customers.

–      Harvest. More commonly, big, traditional, prosperous companies concentrate their efforts on Harvest and Occupy. The former means playing defense, and usually involves a lot of cost optimization, streamlining, and specialization. #Lean

–      Occupy. The latter means playing offense, but after a value vacancy and a market disruption have already materialized, allowing the incumbent to be a “fast follower” and compete based on its unique strengths. #Leap”

“Experience value and platform value are the most common value-creation focuses for big companies pursuing a Disrupt strategy. However, any one of the three forms of value can be the basis of Disrupt.”

“In Occupy, incumbents need to deliver all three forms of value to keep customers from migrating to competitors who are similarly targeting the value vacancy—and to secure the continued status of market leader.”

“The three components of guiding objectives—customer value creation, business models, and strategy—cannot be developed sequentially. To frame execution, they must be considered as an integrated whole.”

Case Intuit. “In doing so, Intuit adopted an Occupy strategy: the launch of an advantageously priced TurboTax cloud offer quickly displaced the desktop version of its tax software. 5 Intuit was willing to cannibalize its own product to build a large market share with a cloud-based product that ensured much more loyalty from customers. This prevented a competitor, Microsoft, from capturing a significant portion of the market with its Microsoft Money software. In fact, Microsoft interrupted that offer and stopped supporting it altogether after 2011.

In late 2017, the company began its next strategy refresh cycle. Seeing data analytics, AI, and machine learning as the new disruptive capabilities likely to impact customer experiences, Intuit mobilized over 100 teams to review research on trends and customer feedback. Based on this, Ko and the management team identified eight major macro trends driving massive societal and economic shifts. In response, the company is reallocating $1 billion—roughly one-fourth of its operating expenses—to address these opportunities. Under the leadership of Al Ko, Intuit’s recurring strategy refresh is becoming a repeatable process. Using knowledge and best practices from the past two iterations in 2012 and 2017, his team is codifying them in the company’s operating rhythm. The process of revisiting the strategy and assessing its progress is now fully represented in the company’s one-and three-year planning cycles, and in operating reviews. But Ko insists that regardless of how repeatable the refresh has become, there’s no substitute for revisiting a massive list of trends and opportunities regularly and stress-testing ways to create more value for customers. Intuit provides a compelling example of how transformation is an essential and perpetual task of leadership. Investors seem to like the results of Ko’s “maniacal focus” on strategy refresh, and the execution that has followed. Intuit’s market capitalization has increased by roughly 600 percent since 2010, compared with some 250 percent for the Nasdaq overall.”

The company’s transformation ambition

“Another important concept that is related to, but distinct from, guiding objectives: the company’s transformation ambition. This is simply a statement that outlines the company’s overall change goal. The transformation ambition aggregates the strategic intent of all the guiding objectives that span the company’s divisions or businesses.”

PRISM

“Good transformation ambitions have a few consistent characteristics. They act as a “prism” that focuses and directs the organization’s energies.

Precise – no room for interpretation.

Realistic – all can credibly see the company actually pulling off.

Inclusive – It needs to be relevant to everyone in the company, from top to bottom.

Succinct – It must be something the average employee can easily remember, almost a rallying cry.

Measurable – everyone can define progress in his or her own way.

Case Cisco. “The transformation ambition of 40/40/2020 was not a commitment to Wall Street, but rather a kind of unofficial, universally understood “north star” for the company. was a shorthand leaders used to describe a future standing in which the company would garner 40 percent of its revenue from recurring (subscription-based) sources and 40 percent from software by the year 2020 (the company’s 2021 fiscal year).”

“A powerful faction among the executive team, which must include the CEO and the board, is needed to overcome resistance to change. A CEO and board, backed by cooperative leaders, must establish an unambiguous stance supporting the transformation ambition.”

“Metrics also play an important role in the ongoing management of a transformation program, quantifying and tracking progress (or the lack thereof) against guiding objectives and the transformation ambition. One CDO told us, “We invest heavily in measurement to drive accountability. Data means there is nowhere to hide. If you’re not on side, there won’t be a sliver of daylight.”

The Transformation Orchestra

Silos are the enemy of transformation. Especially with digital transformation where the ownership is not clear. The Transformation Orchestra is:

Go-to-Market Section

1)   Offerings: The products and services your company sells.  

2)   Channels: How products and services reach customers (i.e., route to market).

Engagement Section

3)   Customer Engagement: How your company engages with its customers.

4)   Partner Engagement: How your company engages with its partner ecosystem.

5)   Workforce Engagement: How your company engages with its employees and contract staff.

Organization Section

6)   Org Structure: The structure of business units, teams, reporting lines, and profit and loss centers (P&Ls).

7)   Incentives: How workers are compensated and rewarded for their performance and behavior.

8)   Culture: The values, attitudes, beliefs, and habits of the company.

Demonstrating that the focus should be on eight elements (not three, not 40) is liberating.

Orchestration Competencies

What do you need to bridge guiding objectives and execution?

1. Customer journey mapping is a needed competency.

800!!!!!! “Customer journey mapping means achieving a detailed understanding of customers’ experiences from the beginning to the end of their interactions with an organization. The proliferation of digital channels is changing how companies approach this mapping. Consider today’s typical multichannel retailer. Shopper interactions once comprised a small handful of possible journeys. But taking into account new channels, including mobile, online, wearables, and in-home devices (e.g., Amazon Echo), we’ve calculated that today’s shoppers have more than 800 unique variations of possible shopping journeys.”

Case Nespresso journey. “Lamblard suggested that e-commerce and user experience (UX) will increasingly focus on removing friction points across the customer journey. “The future of UX is no UX,” he said, and “e-commerce checkouts will vanish.” To accomplish this omnichannel reality, Nespresso aims to eliminate all unnecessary steps from the customer journey by leveraging data and personalization at scale. (For example, when future customers shop in a boutique, they will simply choose their coffee and then leave.) Examples of digital capabilities that may facilitate this seamless journey include subscription ordering models, AI, automation, and peer-to-peer commerce. Nespresso has motivated its channels to work together by harmonizing cross-channel employee incentives. (This makes the company not only a prime example of customer journey mapping, but of orchestration that combines multiple “instruments”.)”

2. Business model design is a complementary competency.

“Key to business model reinvention is a keen understanding of customers’ expectations and what they’ll pay for. Management consulting skills in strategy and business modeling (e.g., the Business Model Canvas) are important here, as is an understanding of customer value creation. How are other firms—especially disruptive competitors—creating cost value, experience value, and/or platform value for customers?”

“Competitive intelligence also plays a big role in understanding how the market is evolving.”

“The creation of a center of excellence around design thinking and user experience has definitely been a critical construct for us to evolve and develop.”

“Understand THE state of the ORGANIZATION.”

3. Business architecture is a competency that helps orchestrators to mobilize organizational resources and assemble transformation networks.

4. Capability assessment, including the availability and readiness of resources.

Build Synergy

Companies undergoing large-scale digital transformation are often places of confusion. A lack of both a clear vision and a shared narrative to describe the company’s transformation efforts frequently prevents people from taking decisive action. For these reasons,

5. Communications and training is a key orchestration competency.

6. Incubation

Orchestrators should also provide (6) incubation and scaling platforms . Platforms are great for creating market change, and they are critical in driving organizational change as well. They are particularly useful in generating synergies and as scaling engines.

7. Internal venture funding focused on innovation and transformation.

“No one listens to a cost center.”

“You’ve got to have financial means to be an attractive business partner.” For a midsized company, this funding might run to a few million dollars. For a large global incumbent, it could be in the tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars. These funds should be ring-fenced for efforts that promote cross-functional outcomes.”

8. Agile

Finally, when it comes to accelerating a transformation program, practitioners must be adept at (8) Agile ways of working. Agile plays a core role in how transformation programs in general—and transformation networks in particular—run.

Case ING. “Employees were asked to reapply for positions structured according to an Agile approach. ING divided the workforce into 350 “squads,” each with a maximum of nine employees. Each squad owned a specific customer-focused business objective, and included workers from multiple disciplines, such as IT development, product management, marketing, and distribution. The squads functioned as “self-organizing” units, each setting its own direction, tasks, prioritization, and strategy for accomplishing its goals. The squads were coordinated using a formal approach, including “chapters” to connect members of the same discipline across different squads, and “tribes,” which were groups of squads working on related missions. Agile coaches were embedded in the squads and tribes to facilitate the process and drive the cultural change needed to succeed in this new way of working.”

Organizing for Orchestration

“Although organizations are fairly evenly divided about whether “digital” should be a centralized or a distributed responsibility, our research shows that when it comes to managing digital transformation, 84 percent of organizations have established a dedicated or specialized group. For almost half of companies, digital is integral to every manager’s job. However, this is not true for transformation, where more than eight in 10 companies recognize that transformation can’t be added to managers’ day-to-day activities, but instead must be aggressively driven in a targeted way.”

“Leaders would do well to bear in mind this important distinction, which we’ve stressed throughout: digital and transformation are not the same thing.”

A centralized transformation group can quickly become its own silo.

“By the same token, a diffused model can also slow down execution. Things can get lost in translation. Wheels can get reinvented.”

“In many large and midsized organizations, coordinati grow like mushrooms as teams (separately) invest in program management roles that get tied up ensuring that other groups have visibility into their work, and that they, in turn, understand how the work of other groups pertains to their own. Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt referred to these workers as “glue people”—employees “who sit between functions and help either side but don’t themselves add a lot of value.” Glue is helpful in binding things together, but unhelpful when it makes things immovable.”

“Multiple executives are “responsible for overseeing digital transformation” in the company, even though a dedicated transformation group exists. In fact, an average of 3.3 different leaders.”

To CDO or to not CDO?

The chief digital officer role has emerged as one of several key leadership roles in digital business transformation. Three main types of CDOs and their share are:

1)   The Customer Experience Maven (25 %)

2)   The Artist Formerly Known as the CIO (66 %)

3)   The Agitator (10 %)

The Customer Experience Maven.

The first type of CDO is focused predominantly in the areas of marketing, communications, e-commerce, customer engagement, and product development. Many of these CDOs come from a chief marketing officer role or from the advertising and creative industries. This CDO frequently views digital primarily as a way to position and strengthen the company’s brand and to interact with customers. A key focus may be adding digital capabilities to existing products (e.g., placing a sensor on a refrigerator, putting a computer screen in a car).   

The Artist Formerly Known as the CIO.

The second type of CDO drives digital primarily from an IT perspective, much as the chief information officer has done in years past. Often, there is little change in the charter of the role, meaning the executive has oversight of the company’s IT but gets a new business card. Sometimes, this is very superficial. The “D” is viewed as trendier than the “I,” which, fairly or unfairly, carries certain baggage in terms of perceived value and skills. Indeed, CIOs as a profession have experienced a “crisis of relevance” in recent years, as business executives consistently cite lack of strategic alignment and innovation as challenges they see in IT leadership. In some circles, there is a belief that if the company hires a CDO, it’s because the CIO has not done his or her job. CDOs are basically CIOs with a title change or a modest enlargement of their responsibilities.

The Agitator.

The third type of CDO is hired not just as a “digital” leader, but to be a gadfly—to challenge received wisdoms and entrenched approaches—and in some cases, as one executive put it, to “blow up the business model” of the company. Many of these CDOs come from startup or management consulting backgrounds. Here, the focus is on major changes to firm strategy and helping the company make money in new ways, usually in response to disruptive competition and/or changing customer demands. This often happens when executive leadership wants to pursue offensive strategies like Disrupt or Occupy.  

The New CTO: Chief Transformation Officer

“This position should be invested with an orchestration charter and responsibility for how the transformation program is executed. The CTO should be responsible for mobilizing organizational resources and enabling their connections. He or she should act as the company’s synergy creator. In the words of one practitioner, “Every action I take can’t just knock over the next domino. It has to knock over 10 or 12 dominoes.” Ideally, the CTO will report to the CEO.”

“Every manager should understand digital and seek to apply it to his or her area of responsibility. But transformation should be driven by a single leader—the chief transformation officer.”

“One key lesson we’ve learned is: let leaders lead. Allow the people who’ve made your company successful to do what they do. Of course, if they’re not performing or are actively trying to undermine the leadership consensus (constantly revisiting and challenging the transformation ambition, for example), they should be replaced. But leaders also have influence and expertise. The company needs their buy-in and engagement for major changes to work.”

“Most organizations and their leadership structures are geared to operate the business, not transform it. Most leadership teams are not there to be change agents, but to deliver results. These results tend to be framed in the here and now—meeting shareholder expectations or addressing the urgent demands of today’s customer.”

“Don’t expect everyone to be orchestrators of cross-functional outcomes. Make that someone’s full-time job—someone who can transcend silos, unstick log jams, and focus outside the immensely difficult task facing all other leaders in the company: operating the mainstream business efficiently and effectively.”

 “If someone’s not complaining about you, you’re not being innovative enough.” (CDO Rob Roy / Sprint)

How should we change according to the book?

“Action: Make the chief transformation officer responsible for orchestrating the company’s digital business transformation, mobilizing organizational resources and enabling connections among them, but create shared accountabilities and joint KPIs with the business for results. The rest of the business should focus on implementing digital capabilities and driving change in their respective areas.”

“Action: Ensure that the executive team consistently reinforces the direction of the transformation, along with their explicit expectation that managers and individual employees plan, invest, and execute in ways that support this direction.

“Action: Create an appropriately sized internal venture fund that can accelerate cross-functional efforts and business outcomes.”

“Action: Document major digital initiatives occurring across the business to create visibility and potential synergies. The orchestrator, however, shouldn’t try to “own” these projects.”

“Action: Make the customer the centerpiece of your company’s digital business transformation. Work backward from how you intend to create new or improved value for the end customer.”

“Action: Create transformation networks consisting of multiple instruments to address transformation challenges. Keep each transformation network small, agile, and focused on a highly specific transformation challenge. This makes measuring the progress and impacts of the change easier.”

“Action: Encourage the CTO to build a strong rapport with division and functional leaders; rather than competing with the business, the transformation office should be seen as a source of innovation, agility, and speed.”

“Action: Keep the transformation office focused on incubating new processes and better capabilities. Transition ongoing management of these processes and capabilities when they reach maturity to the business. The transformation office should remain engaged to adjust the outputs over time.”

“Action: Ensure that the CTO works with other key leaders, particularly the CIO and the assigned transformation leads, to increase the overall level of digital business agility in the company—its foundational capacity to change. This involves creating weak connections among organizational resources that provide new or relevant information, as well as strong connections that create the trust and cohesion needed for a connected approach to change.”

What should I personally do?

Study these….. “Digital technologies including AI and automation, IoT, 5G, and blockchain will profoundly impact companies in the years ahead.”

AI & automation: “It’s not inconceivable that we reach a point in the not-too-distant future where AI is used to orchestrate transformation networks of robots and other intelligent systems to deliver on the organization’s guiding objectives. Already we are seeing signs of orchestration and “resource programmability” coming to the world of IT, where analytics, telemetry, cloud, and virtualization technology allow organizations to shift bandwidth or compute resources, or to establish new policies or access rules, on the fly across a vast footprint of technologies.”

IoT & 5G: “The growth of IoT and the launch of 5G are setting the stage for the level of connectivity within organizations to skyrocket. IoT and 5G will enable organizations to obtain a real-time high-definition view of their people, data, and infrastructure, allowing organizations an unprecedented and detailed understanding of their resources and how they are working together (or not). These technologies will drive tremendous growth in data, which will allow companies to uncover hidden patterns of poor resource utilization that beget inefficiencies or hinder value creation. Better data heralds the possibility of better decision-making.”

Blockchain: “Blockchain and smart contract technology have the power to transform both intra-company and inter-company operating processes, including supply chain, legal, finance, human resources, and sales. For example, blockchain technology could be used in HR to verify employment history and training credentials, while it could transform payment processing and contract management in finance and improve traceability in a company’s supply chain. An orchestrator could simply program a smart contract to execute an organizational change, transmitting money or information automatically when triggered.”

Summary

The book in six words – “Silos are the enemy of transformation.” 

Kategoriat
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Hantula & Korkman: Tutkimusmatka teknolandiaan

Kirjasta

Tämä on ihana kirja. Mieleeni tulee Mika Pantzarin ”Tulevaisuuden koti – arjen tarpeita etsimässä”, jonka aionkin lukea uudestaan. Hantula ja Korkman kamppailevat Pantzarin kanssa tulevaisuuskirjallisuuden Finlandia-palkinnosta.

Teknologian tarkoitus on kasvattaa tehokkuuttamme ja tuottavuuttamme. Kirjoittajat kysyvät voisiko teknologialla olla muita tavoitteita kuin tehokkuus tai tuottavuustekijät. He väittävät, että emme pysty näkemään metsää puilta, koska olemme keskellä metsää. Kirja perustuu heidän tekemiin globaaliin haastattelututkimukseen, joissa tutkitaan miten teknologia on vaikuttanut sosiaalisten suhteiden muuttumiseen. Tämä on kirjan keskeinen tavoite.

Kirjaa lukiessa jäin miettimään, että kuinka paljon sisältöön vaikuttaa kirjoittajien oma vanheneminen. Olisiko milleniaalien tulkinta ollut samanlainen?

Minkälainen kirja oli?

Kirjassa käsitellään viittä eri teemaa:

–      Yksilökeskeisen teknologian vaikutukset perhesuhteisiin.

–      Riippumattomuutta lisäävän teknologian vaikutukset avunantoon ja yhteistyöhön perustuviin suhteisiin.

–      Suoraviivaisuutta ja tehokkuutta korostavan teknologian vaikutukset ystävyyssuhteisiin.

–      Ohikiitävien sisältöjen vaikutukset tuottavuussuhteisiin.

–      Megatrendien vastareaktioina kehittynyt kaipuu paikalliseen yhteisöllisyyteen.

Mitkä ovat kirjan keskeiset ideat? 

Kirjan keskeinen idea on esittää kolme konkreettista ehdotusta nykyistä sosiaalisemman teknologian kehittämiseksi:

1)   Elämänlaatu on heikentynyt.

2)   Sosiaalinen konteksti puuttuu.

3)   Tarvitsemme sosiaalisen majakan.

Elämänlaatu on heikentynyt

Yksilöllisen riippumattomuuden lisääntyminen on heikentänyt elämänlaatu, jota Hantula ja Korkman ovat tutkineet haastattelemalla eri puolella maapalloa ihmisiä ja heidän suhdetta teknologiaan. Kirjoittajien ratkaisuehdotus tähän ongelmaan on palveluiden käsityksen laventaminen liittyen jakamiseen. Heidän mielestä pitäisi päästä ”mekaanisesta” jakamisesta. Tai Facebookin aiheuttamasta ”kateuden spiraalista”. Pitäisi päästä eroon minä-keskeisestä ja nopeatempoisesta jakamisesta, joka heikentää ”pitkäaikaista, vastavuoroista ja keskinäistä riippuvuutta perustuvaan suhteeseen”. Paluu ystävien lörpöttelyyn, ”jutellaan ei-mistään” sekä ystävyyden historian tuottaman ”yhteiseen kieleen”. Avun saaminen ja pyytäminen sekä yhdessä jaetut hetket luovat perustan pitkäkestoisille suhteille. Nykypalveluista puuttuu siis vastavuoroisuus.   

Ratkaisuehdotus on luoda palveluita, joissa ”palvelunkäyttäjät voisivat kokea asioita rinta rinnan, oppia toinen toisiltaan tai tavoitella määrätietoisesti ja pitkäjännitteisesti yhteistä päämäärää”

Sosiaalinen konteksti puuttuu

Koska teknologialla ei ole sosiaalinen kontekstin ymmärrystä, niin se häiritsee läheisiä ihmissuhteitamme. Alexander Graham Bell ja Mark Weisner Xerox PARCista näkivät teknologian tuomat tilanteet. Bell tiesi, että ihmiset tulevat käyttämään puhelinta ”lörpöttelyyn” ja Weisner koki, että tietokoneet tulevat varastamaan ihmisten huomion. Kirjoittajien vastaus on, että esim. puheohjatut kodin assitenttien sisältöjen tulisi olla sellaisia, että ne eivät liikaa varasta huomiota eivätkä häiritse tärkeitä sosiaalisia tilanteita. Pois notifikaatiot!

Automaattinen personointi ja algoritmit ovat syyllisiä sosiaalisen kontekstin puuttumiseen. Ne olettavat laskentamalleissaan, että miten kannattaa sisältöjä personoida. Se on ollut hieno teknologinen innovaatio – personoinnin automatisointi. Koska käyttäjältä puuttuu insentiivi personoida digitaalisia palveluita, niin palveluntuottajalla on vähintäänkin tarve varmistaa, että ”asiakas” käyttää palveluita uudestaan.

Ratkaisuehdotus on, että uusien sisältöjen pitäisi olla sellaisia, että ne eivät pääse hyökkäämään tai pilaamaan ihmisten välisiä leirinuotioita, vaan rytmittyisivät osaksi ihmisten sosiaalista kanssakäymistä.

Tarvitsemme fyysisen sosiaalisen majakan

Ystävyyden peruskallio on tehottomuus, jossa aikaa on tuhlattu yhteisen kielen synnyttämiseen. Ja ihmiset ovat alkaneet kaipaamaan pakoa pois digitaalisesta maailmasta koti turvallisia ja tuttuja fyysisiä ympäristöjä sekä paikallisuuden tunnetta. Tilaan, jossa esineet vanhenevat kanssamme. Tilaan, jossa ystävyyssuhteet perinteisesti syntyvät – työpaikat, koulut, oppilaitokset, koirapuistot, metsästysretket jne. Esim. digitaalisten kuvakehysten epäonnistuminen perustui siihen, että ihmiset eivät halua että lasten valokuvat vaihtuvat koko ajan, vaan he toivovat saada katsella niitä samoja kuvia ”koko ajan”.

Ratkaisuehdotus on pysyvät digitaaliset sisällöt läsnä elämässämme ja niiden tulee antaa vanheta kanssamme.

Mitä meidän pitäisi tehdä kirjan perusteella?

Pois globaalin sosiaalisten palveluiden megatrendistä ja tuoda yhteisöllisyys takaisin ihmisten kanssakäymisen kontekstiin. Esim. irtaantua ”sosiaalisen median riikinkukoista” ja Instagram-tyylisestä ja mainontaa muistuttavasta visuaalisesta kielestä. ”Vaatimukset ihmissuhteisiimme paremmin mukautuvasta teknologiasta saattavat käydä paljon äänekkäämmäksi”.

Mitä minun pitäisi itse tehdä? 

Tehdä leirinuotion kunnianpalautus. Perehtyä paikallisuuden ja yhteisöllisyyden voimaantumiseen. Tutkia miten yhteisöllisyys toimii esim. yhteisöllisissä hotelleissa kuten citizenM, pienimuotoiset sekä paikalliset tislaamot, artesaanijäätelötehtaat tai pienpaahtimot.

Yhteenveto

Kirja kuudella sanalla –  ”Se on liian NYT!”